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by spekcular 2049 days ago
The book Lifecycle Investing by Nalebuff and Ayres, both professors at Yale, argues fairly convincingly that trading on margin is optimal for young people, especially those expecting high-earning careers (e.g. software developers).

The calculations in the book use much more pessimistic annual interest rates than the 1% you quote, too.

I'm too risk averse to actually do this, even though I believe their arguments. However, it has convinced me that at least 100% stocks, 0% bonds is optimal, if we avoid margin (for a young person expecting a good job).

1 comments

path dependency is the main problem with margin trading. S^P 500 fell 60% in 2007-2008. So that should give you an idea of how much of a cushion you need to give yourself for the worse case scenario.
If this is just retirement money, so what? It rebounded pretty well since.
if you have have 100% margin and the market falls 50%, the broker will close out all your positions at a large loss to protect its own assets (often well before the 50% target), at which point it will not matter how much the market rebounds after that