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by ospohngellert
2053 days ago
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Does anyone else reject the premise of the article? I understand that polling definitely missed big in some areas, but isn't that normal? Polling is really hard. You have to make a lot of assumptions, adjust for demographics, predict whether a voter will turn out, while using a sample of usually ~1000 people. Of course some polls are going to be wrong. I don't think the polling was generally wrong though. Polling averages had Biden +8 or so, when all votes are counted he'll likely be +5, which is within margin of error. Polls were extremely accurate in Georgia, where conventional wisdom would say Biden shouldn't win. I get that most of the polling error benefited Trump, and the industry needs to reflect on why that happened and how to prevent underestimating republicans again in the future, but I don't yet buy the narratives that "the polls got it wrong." |
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