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by jungletime 2051 days ago
You're probably right. I misread that. Sorry. However a gap of only 20k votes. 99% votes in out of 3.2 mil So up to ~300K still left to count. And still conceivable it could flip on recount if its close.
2 comments

> And still conceivable it could flip on recount if its close.

No, no it will not. Here is the REPUBLICAN former governor of Wisconsin explaining why a recount won't change anything. The last two recounts changed the margin by 300 and 131 votes respectively. Nowhere close to the 20k required.

https://twitter.com/ScottWalker/status/1324002777597677569

> However a gap of only 20k votes. 99% votes in out of 3.2 mil So up to ~300K still left to count.

No, 1% of 3.2 million is 32,000 not ~300,000.

So, to make up a 20K deficit, the remaining ballots would need to break about 4:1 for Trump. (And the realistic shift for a recount is small enough, that it isn't meaningfully different if you were only concerned with what it would take for it to be within that range, either.)

> And still conceivable it could flip on recount if its close.

Sure, if it was within a couple hundred votes, it might. But it isn't, and it won't be.