[__sisyphus__]

you definitely make some good points. i realized a few things i didn't think about after posting as well.

i guess i was thinking more along the lines of, most of the time i personally don't think you should be choosing a presidential candidate based on predictions of who may or may not win. even some of your examples are more centered on the ultimate outcome of the election and how to plan for it; i really think people whose lives could be affected that drastically should be planning ahead for that situation anyway.

nonetheless, i agree they do have some value, and perhaps i should have clarified my line of thinking more clearly.