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by uyt
2045 days ago
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Is it possible that the projections themselves affected the outcome? If people saw that they had a comfortable lead, they wouldn't be as motivated to turnout. Then the polling results might ironically be more accurate if people believed in them less. |
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edit: To be clear, when polls overwhelmingly suggest a landslide, it suppresses votes from both sides. But a much higher proportion of the losing side will choose not to vote, thus inflating the gap.