[timr]

> In Sweden it hasn't been reduced to near zero and the trend has it rising to 100+ a day.

That is incorrect. Sweden is currently seeing about 2,000 cases a day, and 5 deaths a day (7-day moving averages):

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/

Today, they had thirteen deaths, nationwide, which was a statistically abnormal spike. The previous day was 1.

The IHME site you are linking is reporting the output of a model, not actual data on deaths.