[dragonwriter]

> I'm just not sure what's happening in Asia, South America, and Africa.

Latin America seems to be all over the list of top deaths/capita for the whole pandemic, but currently the worst places (per capita deaths in the last 7 days) seems to be mostly central/eastern europe, though Argentina is pretty high in both all time and recent deaths/capita.

Where Africa is doing well or just doesn't have good surveillance to even identify cases, I couldn't say. But if a place doesn't have much inbound tourism, doesn't have lots of people able to afford international travel, and doesn't have the kind of internal mobility common in the developed world, it would make sense that they might not get hit very hard without taking much in the way of special precautions.

[commonturtle]

The inbound tourism idea is something I didn't think about. Transmission may depend a lot of people transporting it from one geographical region to another, and that might be less common in the developing world simply due to worse transport networks and people living and working more locally in general. E.g., more people from the UK go to Spain on holiday than people from Gambia.