0: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/16/upshot/presidential-foreca...
1: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/pollster-forecast-donald...
2: http://election.princeton.edu/2016/11/09/aftermath/
3: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gav...
4: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pund...