[estebank]

The mitigations are effective in slowing the spread (to varying degrees, due to a multitude of factors), which in turn slow down the rate of mutation. In any case, I would expect the dispersion of the virus to follow a pattern similar to https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=plVk4NVIUh8

[Fnoord]

Don't know about your country/region but here the mitigations are put in effect because hospitals can't handle the pressure anymore.