[dragonwriter]

> The '1st wave' was understandable - crude measures in an emergency, fair enough.

The US is largely still in a rolling first wave; the separate nation-wide peaks are the result of the fact that not everywhere got hit at the same time, so, e.g., New York had hit it's first peak and bent things downward before much of the country had even noticeably been hit at all. There's some places that are in genuine second waves, but much of the country is still experience it's first wave (often in a post-lockdown climb after a lockdown-generated plateau.)

[jariel]

That's a great point - US overall looks like it's in a '3rd wave' but really, the 2cnd blip was due to different states hitting at different times.

However - if you break down by state - it looks fairly clearly that we are in a '2cnd wave' of a totally different kind: it's younger people driving the infections, and the case fatality rate is a lot lower.