[jariel]

???

1) The data you showed literally displays a full blown tidal wave 'second wave' hitting Sweden, 1500 cases/day in a country of 8M people and growing exponentially is absolutely a 'second wave'. Seriously, what are you looking at? That rate of expansion, if not controlled with further social modifications, will overwhelm the country in about 3 weeks.

(Remember that quite some number of people need to be hospitalized, that the hospitals have to refuse other patients, that it will force other lockdowns, and it eventually will trickle to the older people - who will die.)

2) Sweden avoided an 'initial lockdown' but most countries only did a 'lock down' for several weeks. Otherwise, a lot of the de-facto policies have been quite similar. As of 4 weeks ago I suggest Sweden was 'on par' with the rest of the Western world.

[slaw]

Scientists predict Sweden will be overwhelm in about 3 weeks for 6 months already. https://swprs.files.wordpress.com/2020/07/sweden-projection-...

[jariel]

The data is right in your graph. Right now it's almost 1.5K infections per day, it's about a 3 week doubling rate. So 6K new infections / day in 3-6 weeks - at almost any % of those needing hospitalizations, they will be overwhelmed.

Whatever Sweden did at the end of June, where you can see a precipitous drop - they will obviously have to do again.