[rsynnott]

> But people read “90% chance” as “definite win”. I don’t actually know what anyone should or could do about that.

538 are aware of the problem, and combating it with a cartoon fox (and better visualisations).

[perryizgr8]

I don't know if this statement is serious. How does a cartoon fox make me think differently about the numbers?

[tomjakubowski]

Like the coyote in El Viaje Misterioso de Nuestro Jomer, the cartoon fox tells you only just enough to light the path towards statistical enlightenment. You must walk it yourself.

[rsynnott]

I was mostly joking; the real improvement is the better visualisations. The cartoon fox is just there as a reminder.