Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by ceilingcorner 2068 days ago
No, but I don't consider it useful toward predicting the outcome, which is of course what this is all about.
2 comments

Say more about "but I don't consider it useful toward predicting the outcome"

How else would one predict the outcome of a die roll, specifically?

If there was sufficient data to assign a 0% or 100% probability to an event, that’s what a forecaster should do. If there isn’t sufficient data, then anyone who claims there is a sure thing is a charlatan.