Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by Ibethewalrus 2069 days ago
nope, you're wrong.

538 gave Hillary a 71.4% chance of winning

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

2 comments

The GP is saying 538 did better compared to other news outlets. You need to also provide a source for another news outlet giving Hillary less than 71.4% if you want to show that the GP is wrong.
thanks. gave a reread to the comment I replied to and makes sense
The assertion you're responding to was not about Trump's odds in an absolute sense, but relative to other pollsters and forecasters. So pointing out the precise value FiveThirtyEight assigned to that outcome doesn't refute anything until you compare it to somebody else's number.