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by rsynnott 2067 days ago
> If they really believe the accuracy of their models, they should literally be betting the farm on a Biden win.

I mean, maybe they are; how would you know? (Though it would seem vaguely improper; not sure about the journalistic ethics take on this but it's at the very least not a great look.) Presumably the money a few 538 employees could bet wouldn't shift the betting markets very much.