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by spydez 5531 days ago
Does it tell you the chance of rain?

I have a motorcycle; I only have one weather question in the morning - can I ride today? Rain is pretty much the only thing I care about, and I'm on the Florida coast, so "Isolated thunderstorms" is a "no shit, Sherlock" during spring/summer/fall and entirely useless. I want to know if it's the usual 10-30% chance of mid-afternoon rain, or if it's something more.

An alert on my phone ready for me every morning would be ideal. I've found apps in the past that do it, but they always close shop after a few months.

2 comments

Yes yes yes, please. I live in Oregon, and this time of year[1] pretty much every day is "chance of showers"- but some days that means "off and on, all day long" and other days that means "one or two good downpours, and decent the rest of the day". Trying to guess which it will be at 8:00 AM is a real pain in the neck. I've actually seriously considered trying to train a classifier to make "ride/don't ride" predictions based on the morning hourly forecast.

The problem is that I know just enough about both weather and machine learning to know that such a simplistic approach probably wouldn't work very well. And, of course, the relative costs of false positives and false negatives are very different (false negative: I miss a good riding day; false positive: I get soaked and have to deal with slippery pavement).

Likely out of your price range but Stormpulse will send you an email or text any time chance of rain exceeds a threshold of your choice. http://stormpulse.com/products