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by darawk 2079 days ago
I think this is exactly right. Being successful in the top 0.1% is not actually rational. Even if you're brilliant, your chance of succeeding at that level is low. A truly rational person seeks out the best risk-adjusted return, not the best absolute return. If you're a technical minded person, making 300k/year in a software job is about the best risk-adjusted return of any profession I can think of.
2 comments

Well the risk is you have to move to the US to get that kind of salary in a software job.
And the cost of living is so high that despite the fantastic salary most software engineers in Silicon Valley will never buy a house there.

Great place to make money before retiring elsewhere though.

Well yes, but many other countries have similar math when it comes to software engineering salaries as opposed to other fields. In most places, going into software is a good thing to do moneywise.
Germany not. Software is more on the lower end of high skilled work, definitely not at the top end.
Interesting. Still, am I correct that lower end of high skilled work is still middle-upper class in terms of income?
I find it difficult to find reliable numbers (since I work in a different industry), but it seems median entry salary for IT graduate is 40k€, which is 25k€ nett anually. I also find the middle-upper class difficult for germany (since salary upper class doesnt mean you are asset upperclass aka rich).

Personally I would say 25k€ nett is middle class; but here everybody wants to belong to the middle class so it usually has a wide stretch.

Big companies are unionized so salarys do not get that big, but are considered higher then in non-unionized companies.

How is the situation in the US?

What is the optimal risk adjustment ratio? And it is chosen by reason or by personal preference? Many software engineers are a bit risk averse and just do what they are told to do. Many entrepreneurs would rather experience the rushes of a business roller-coaster and walk away with no money than just sit and program as told.
There is no optimal ratio per se. You just divide gain by risk and maximize that quantity. This is a scale invariant function, at least, with respect to its maximum.
I think you must be omitting variables, or simply trying to maximize dollars or some other approximately ordered quantity rather than maximize subjective fulfillment in life.
Which variables are being omitted? Certainly there are other variables relevant to a quality life than money. But the rules apply to any utility function you might come up with. You want to maximize risk-adjusted return.