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by TRC_0FF 2069 days ago
Kurzweil gets criticized for his incorrect predictions, but it is hard to predict the future. If you take a look at HN users predictions from 10 years ago[0] and evaluate them strictly, then Kurzweils' predictions in comparison don't look that bad after all.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025681
2 comments
neaden 2069 days ago
My criticism of Kurzweil isn't that he gets his predictions wrong, it's that he acts like an authority with his predictions and confidence that is totally unearned. If he was just throwing out some guesses and saying "I'm probably wrong" no one would really care one way or the other.
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thomasjoulin 2069 days ago
Was there an HN thread for 2030 predictions?
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TRC_0FF 2069 days ago
There was[0]! In contrast to 2010, 2020 thread seems much more pessimistic.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278

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