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by vansul
2078 days ago
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The Doomsday clock idea has a lot of respectable people behind it but I've always been unclear how it isn't just a bias-o-meter. Kahneman and others have done a lot of persuasive work examining how experts are often quite bad at judgement/prediction. How can we be sure the Doomsday Clock actually means anything substantive (as compared to data)? |
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Oh i think it absolutly is...but a good one ;)