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by almost_usual 2069 days ago
Who are you talking about? Tech workers or people who don’t work in tech?

Everyone I know in the service industry left. I doubt they ever come back. COVID was the nail in the coffin for most bars, restaurants, and clubs in SF that were already struggling. The city isn’t going to be the same after this.
1 comments
xvilka 2069 days ago
Even if all of them go bust this year, there will be new ones once population return and will need entertainment. The nature of entertainment might change a bit, but it will be still there.
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ulisesrmzroche 2069 days ago
Yeah, I’ll add that demand hasn’t gone anywhere, in fact, it’s higher than ever.

When things fully reopen there’s gonna be a sort of boom in entertainment/restaurant/travel industry

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thu2111 2068 days ago
I think there's an implicit assumption here that there will be a definite end date to this. I really hope there is, but there's another possibility that looks more likely as time goes on: lockdown has permanently broken the brains of some types of political leader and they will in fact never fully release the restrictions. Places like SF and NY will have long term restrictions lasting years, justified in the name of public health, the "new normal" and epidemic curves that never flatten (given current testing levels the curve can never drop to zero just due to FPs alone).

Many parts of the US will definitely go back to normal, but maybe not everywhere. It may be a permanent structural change in laws and government approaches.

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ulisesrmzroche 2068 days ago
Yeah sometimes I think that too. I just don't think people will put up with it. They'll vote in anti lockdown politicians. I hope so anyway.

If trump wins, then who knows.

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harambae 2067 days ago
I'm curious if this will ever end either. For example, my understanding is...

30% of people will never take a vaccine [0]

The first couple vaccines will be 40-60% effective [1]

Similar vaccines never exceed 70% effectiveness. [2]

It's unclear how many boosters you'll need, etc.

I hope someone out there is crunching the numbers and seeing the issue.

[0] https://news.gallup.com/poll/317018/one-three-americans-not-... [1] https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/09/12/9119879... [2] https://www.cdc.gov/flu/vaccines-work/vaccineeffect.htm

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