[shawnz]

You are talking about a different issue (correlation between the stock market and the economy). The person you are replying to is talking about active versus passive investment (i.e. betting on individual stocks to beat the market rather than investing in total market index funds)

[vsareto]

People that compare the two outcomes will decide to become new active investors that fuels what the parent to my comment is talking about

[shawnz]

Why would they do that? Passive strategies also did well over the last few months.

[vsareto]

If you get lucky gains starting out doing riskier things like WSB does, you might be more inclined to keep that style until you take some losses. And if you're swept up in WSB's fun, you'll probably end up taking more losses. WSB is basically an accelerant for investing psychology.

[shawnz]

Sure, but what does that have to do with the pandemic or the current state of the economy? It will always be true that active investors are more likely to get "lucky" gains than passive investors. The allure of gambling isn't going to suddenly go away once the overall economy stabilizes.

[vsareto]

I think the key disagreement here is that you don't agree that a stock market staying high during a pandemic due to government intervention would attract more active investors, and those active investors can make less mistakes because the stock market was staying irrationally high.

And if you're just a regular wage earner with some cash, seeing the labor market being dropped on its head, maybe this stock market thing might be a good idea to try. I mean, some people definitely bought stocks with the $1200 stimulus check. Getting into the stock market (which ended up doing unreasonably well) was a way to hedge against losing your job (which you had a higher likelihood of losing).