[autokad]

No, we are undercounting the number of people who have it (asymptomatic or not) by a huge factor. at one point it was by a factor of 10, but I doubt that is still the case.

This is why I watch florida like an eagle, because if it stops going up there we know we got a very good estimate to know when the top is.

~2.5-3% (730k/21.5m) of Florida has had it and it's slowed dramatically (use to be like 16k/day now down to 3). It feels reasonable that herd immunity starts slowing down the virus pretty fast somewhere around 25-30%. It seems reasonable it may come to a complete halt by 47%.