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by kmm
2077 days ago
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Changing the scenario is the exactly the point of why I am unsure increasing the number of doors gives true intuition. In the original problem with the original scenario, people intuitively think switching doesn't matter, when it provably does. With 1000 doors and the Monty Fall scenario, again the intuition is wrong. So are we gaining true intuition for the Monty Hall scenario by expanding the setup, or is it just some subconscious Bayesian thinking accidentally steering us toward the right answer. |
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