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by Green_man
2081 days ago
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When I first heard about the problem, I struggled with the seemingly 50/50 chances. either you picked the right door and now switch and lose, or you picked a wrong door and switch and win. Switching seemed a zero sum game. The explanation that works best for me is that you were more likely to have picked a wrong door in the first place, so while the impacts are opposite equals, the likelihoods are not equivalent. |
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