[baybal2]

$30-$40 wholesale in China, but...

1. Single mode fibre already costs less than high high frequency cabling.

2. A standard written from scratch can move all smart electronics, and even some passives from the transceiver into the device.

3. The moment a transceiver turns into a standardised single chip device, economies of scale turn enormous.

4. Optics can be simplified for direct attach devices.

5. Cheapest transceivers sets + cabling for single mode 10G ethernet already cost less than $10 wholesale.