[navd]

I think you got downvoted on the basis that what you say is speculation... but I do not disagree and think there should be room for that in this context.

Confirmed cases will never be equal to total cases unless the virus affected everyone the same and had 100% mortality with distinctive causes i.e hemorrhaging.

The asymptomatic or mild case rate is so high that treating confirmed cases as anything other than a speculative baseline is hard for me to accept.