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by bluedevil2k 2101 days ago
This is a unique commodity in that it literally falls from the sky. I don’t believe we have any tradable commodities that can be obtained, rather easily, for free. Yes, I know we’re talking about massive amounts of water and aquifers, but I can picture Wall Street banks setting up huge rain catchers and desalination plants to try and profit from this market.
3 comments

Potable water and desalination is a very expensive problem.
Desalination @$0.45/m^3 from Hyflux (Singapore Contracts) would be $554/acre foot - roughly the price we see on the spot markets.
That isn’t how commodity markets (which aren’t on wall st btw) work. The traders don’t now frames or, except by mistake, barges fill of coal; they sit in the middle and rarely touch it.

A farmer can sell their crop before it has grown to improve cash flow, chocolate companies can buy cocoa that they will need next year so they have a predictable price and these guys sit in the middle.

I didn’t say commodities traded on Wall Street, and I know usually they’re middlemen.

I’m saying Wall Street banks are the kinds of investors to sell delivery contracts and then find a way to gather water cheaply and actually deliver it (for a nice profit). Banks aren’t always just middlemen.

The contract is cash-settled so there's no opportunity to pipe in water like that.
Actually in many Western states (Oregon for one) it is illegal to capture and store rainwater. There is one narrow and very recent exception for capture using the roof of a permitted dwelling, but if you build a pond or a lake or any kind of structure for rainwater collection purposes you are in fact breaking the law.

Water rights are bonkers-crazy.