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by neogodless 2096 days ago
Bad hypothetical situations are bad. But have you looked at the data?

Historically, you're much more likely to have your money grow over time, such that it's much higher before a big crash, and you have ample capital to wait out a bear market.

Again, the only scenarios that resulted in running out of capital in a 4% withdrawal rate happened in the very first few years, retiring right before a very bad series of years.

If early retirement is your goal, and especially if you're a competent software developer, if the market is that bad early on (which is very rare) then you just have to change course and go back to work.