[zepto]

We’re all in some kind of bubble. One way of mitigating that is to assume it to be true, and then take other people’s reports as if they are samples from other bubbles. You can then use these samples to expand your own view.

I have a friend who has one foot in very liberal circles and one in very conservative circles. In his experience people on both sides are going to accept the election result if their side loses.

I have another friend who works at an elite liberal university. The people around them understand it’s close race, and that Trump might actually win.

I personally know a democratic media strategist who disbelieves the polls and is expecting Trump to win.

People close to me who are centrist independents are going to vote for Biden, because they are worried about Trump undermining institutions and think the US needs allies, but are worried that the Democrats domestic policies might be so harmful that this. Ugh this end up being a mistake.