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by appleiigs 2102 days ago
Well... a biological process would be “rare” outside of earth, so if I was a betting man...
3 comments

Would it? Seems to me we have no idea how rare it is. For all we know it might be quite common.
You're implying we don't have any information at all. We do. Even if you argue is it's limited, to our knowledge bio processes outside of earth has been zero. Whereas, non-bio chemical processes is greater than zero. So now people want to bet on that it's bio??
I don’t think we can say that with any confidence.
Milky Way contains on the order of half a trillion star systems. Would having, say, a million planets carrying some form of life in our galaxy alone qualify as “rare”?
To be fair, I wouldn't consider that rare. When we talk about life, we usually think in terms of are we alone. If there are a million planets with life, life isn't rare, regardless of what percentage of planets have life.
We also know that our solar system has exactly the right conditions needed for life.
No, we know that our planet has the right conditions for life. The conditions on Venus are very different.
That would be rare.

I also suspect 1 million is a massive underestimation.