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by cactus2093
2115 days ago
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Why is shorting not consistent with long-term thinking? You can think a company or industry will decline over a long-term horizon, just as much as you can think it will grow. It seems like the symmetry of being able to be either short or long on a company is a useful part of the market signal. I'm also not sure "hold for 6 months" is particularly useful. A lot of people are already investing on that timeline today and it hasn't solved the problem. Also, there are enough investors on aggregate that there would still be a lot of buy/sell activity every day even with that model. Something that might be kind of interesting is if there were a short trading window every ~5 years or something. Then nobody is trading at all for years, the company can focus completely on the long-term vision and only have to check in and worry about the public perception of the work for a short period of time every few years. |
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The rules I suggested aren't necessarily good rules, just random examples. That is, to me the most powerful driver for short term thinking isn't managerial in nature, it's investor in nature. That is, it's the short term fluctuations in market value as investor reactions to events or goals that have nothing to do with the company's bottom line or long term goals, etc. But if essentially random forces are affecting the value of your company, there will exist pressure on management to respond to that pressure. So to me the real fix is some set of rules constraining investor behavior with regards to how the stock is traded, not some nebulous honor-code among CEOs. I am not sure what the rules should be, I just picked random rules out of my butt. But I think there should be some trading constraints: if you truly want to incentivize long term vision, you have to remove the short term pressures.
Like your suggestion for a trading window every 5 years. I have no idea how well that would work, but it seems reasonable, and is the sort of thing I expected for the site, but they seem not to have anything like that in mind. Which to me means that have entirely missed the mark.