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by timr 2105 days ago
In what age group? The 1976 vaccine actually killed people and gave Guillain Barré to many more, so that's your worst-case outcome. So far, under 20 years of age, the fatality rate for Covid is measured in low-single-digit thousandths of a percent (i.e. under a thousand in the US).

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.08.24.20180851v...
1 comments
CydeWeys 2105 days ago
Yeah, the worst vaccine mortality rate ever was still not remotely as bad as that, and you're not considering that a vaccine given to a 20 year old is helping to protect all the other people said 20 year old comes into contact with, who will have substantially higher mortality rates from COVID.
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timr 2105 days ago
"Yeah, the worst vaccine mortality rate ever was still not remotely as bad as that"

Citation required.

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CydeWeys 2105 days ago
40 million people got it, only 25 died: https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2009-apr-27-sci-swin...

I'll leave the math as an exercise for the reader, but that's a really low mortality rate, orders of magnitude less than even young healthy people who've gotten COVID-19.

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timr 2104 days ago
25 people that we know about for sure. There were hundreds of cases of Guillain Barré, and many more that weren't definitively linked to the virus. Now scale that to billions of people.

And despite your comment on other subthreads, we don't make these decisions by directly comparing naïve mortality counts. It's not like it's acceptable to hurt N-1 people, just because the virus hurt N people. If a vaccine kills / cripples hundreds of young people, nobody is going to take the vaccine. It's pointless to debate this.

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