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by shalmanese 2120 days ago
Population Pyramid estimates the 2100 population of China to be 1.06B which is 45% higher than the 732M figure estimated by Lancet.

1B feels like a lot more realistic estimate than 750M.

2 comments

The most interesting thing for me in this report coming out is that societies/governments taking note of this might incentivise outcomes. E.g., if China thinks that 750M is too low keeping its longer term interests, it might tweak the 1-child policy or encourage immigration etc by 2050.
The lancet error bars are 456 - 1499.