[qalmakka]

Would China actually bother with that? I don't think so. They like doing business with the Americans, and that would basically be a declaration of war to the USA. Even if it didn't boil down to that, sanctions would hurt them plenty, much more than they want. After all, Taiwan wasn't not for a split second part of Communist China, so what's the point of risking anything for an overcrowded island as long as no one recognizes them as independent?

So yes, I think the conflict will definitely remain frozen for the next decades, and it will be at least until either the CPC loses control of the mainland, the USA lose their grip on the region, or some US politician goes bananas and pushes for Taiwanese independence.