|
|
|
|
|
|
by WoahNoun
2131 days ago
|
|
|
>The probability of winning is based on the popular support for a candidate This isn't actually true. The probability of winning is based on aggregation of regional probabilities. The same national vote probability distribution can lead to very, very, different election probability distributions due to regional variation. The electoral college essentially guarantees that the national probability distribution is worthless for actually predicting who will be President. |
|
|