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by esrauch 2133 days ago
I'm curious about the death rates in the European countries on your WHO link; both France and Spain have clear resurgence in cases but very near zero deaths. Did they actually reduce the morbidity by 100x, or is there some other fundamental difference?
3 comments

Morbidity has definitely reduced some, both because testing is now covering non-severe cases and because treatment protocols have improved.

But a major factor is that deaths have consistently been a lagging indicator for this disease, both because the progression is quite long and because the most active spreaders tend to be younger and healthier. It's likely that they'll see a matching resurgence in deaths over the next few weeks, as other areas of the world with case surges have consistently seen.

The most vulnerable died and now it's younger, less vulnerable people being infected and we have safety measures to protect the remaining vulnerable populations?

It will be interesting to see the death rate once this is all over. It might be much lower and the initial numbers were skewed by cases in the elderly.

> both France and Spain have clear resurgence in cases but very near zero deaths.

We are getting better at treating COVID19. We are not as clueless as 6 months ago.