[nradov]

The actual best estimate of death rate in the US is 0.65%, not 3%.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...

[jashmatthews]

Sadly 3% is the right number to use for that comparison between observed fatality in the US and earlier estimates https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality

The estimated IFR is quite different and can’t be just swapped.

[nradov]

You're comparing one meaningless number to another meaningless number. What's the point?

[jashmatthews]

CFR isn't a meaningless number and the estimated IFR is useful for making predictions.

[nradov]

In what sense is CFR meaningful? What can you do with that number? There is little consistency between countries in testing rates or the criteria of what counts as a "case".