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by achenatx 2126 days ago
private kindergarten - 3 weeks virtual only, then 100% in school (10 kids)

private 2nd, 7th - 3 weeks virtual only, then hybrid model. One week on, one week off, 10 kids in class.

I ran calculations for the probability of a serious infection and it is something like

1% prevalence * 5% transmission rate 1% hospitalization rate

.0005% chance per contact of being hospitalized

chance your child doesnt get hospitalized per extended contact .99995

with 10 children in the class plus a teacher, the probability of being hospitalized is .99995^10 or 1/20,000

I can work from home and my wife is a stay at home. I know a little about a lot of things so can teach them pretty much anything. We had a lot of fun in the spring.

I dont love the pandemic, but it has been great for us as a family.

1 comments

What do you think about the chance of your child passing on the disease to someone older or the teacher?