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by breck
2137 days ago
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There are a lot fewer people to spread it to now than there was in March. The USA is over 5M confirmed cases now. The CDC estimates that the true infection count is 6x-24x that. So on the order of 30M - 120M Americans have already had it now. The distribution is uneven. Places that hadn't gotten hit are getting hit now. But on average we are likely close to herd immunity. This is no longer an exponential thing here. We can't have an OOM more cases. It's mathematically impossible. The worst is over (again, on average). I don't think we explicitly tried to follow a herd immunity strategy but that is what ended up happening. 1. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullar... |
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