[Balgair]

The numbers, though very few, seem to fit an exponential well, at least thus far.

If you plot and fit the curve to such an exponential, today you should have ~15 cases. Tomorrow ~25 cases. In one week's time, ~380 cases. ND has ~8600 people attending. To get that many cases should be 14 days from today [0], so August 28th.

If these trends continue as is, then ND won't make it to September before closing down.

Still, the data is sparse.

[0] Day 20 is ~6000 cases, day 21 is ~9400 cases, you can round however you'd like.