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by kking50 2139 days ago
It's not a new golden age of fitness. There may be a short-term boon, but people's motivation will eventually nose dive without social interaction.

"Previously, 50% of gym-goers quit after 6 months." Why would you not expect the same thing to happen with people's quarantine workout motivations? We're still within the first 6 months of quarantine.

1 comments

The best hope is (a) social pressure to attend class, with (b) class costs plummeting due to logistics and competition.

However, the glut of supply may make it hard for people to cluster together into classes

It's hard to say for sure, but at the moment it looks like ~10-15% of class-based locations will not re-open due to business failure? So that's not a dramatically reduced supply, and additionally a lot of these places weren't sold-out to begin with (except in say NYC or LA where popular classes have waitlists). I personally think the desire to be social + in/person will soon exceed people's concerns re: safety, especially in areas where the COVID rates are low.
> (b) class costs plummeting due to logistics and competition

I think this is unlikely at least until social distancing goes away. The average class size has decreased significantly in order to make social distancing possible.

Pre-covid, classes at our gym were sometimes so packed that you couldn't comfortably do a forward lunge without stepping on the person in front of you.

>The best hope is (a) social pressure to attend class //

By class I assume you mean some sort of organised fitness events? Do people do that for social reasons - I'd have thought the primary reason was not wanting to wobble like a jelly when you walk up the road; then perhaps longevity??