[jcytong]

The CCP might look stronger than it actually is. Due to the restricted flow of information, a lot of the conflicts are not well publicized.

If the CCP were to collapse, it'd be from the inside. Xinjiang, Tibet, Taiwan always wanted independence. It's difficult enough to unify a small group so just imagine with 1.4 billion people.

[eSephiroth]

Your guys don't know about 1.4b Chinese. If they are as well knowledge and informed as your guys, it's hard to unify. But if they only have one information source, one chat tool, one history book, they will be one brain-cell dummy. USSR don't have wisdom to simplify information，history and even Internet. Unified is what Chinese love to have. That's why things happen in HK. You are over estimated Chinese people. China is not USSR. People don't have gun. Government won't give up their power. Tear down China great firewall is only thing your guys can help keep freedom existing, not just for Chinese or HKer, but also for your future. Fear might over come freedom someday unexpected.

[account42]

> from the inside. [...] Taiwan always wanted independence.

Taiwan is independent.

[jariel]

So yes, I see what you are saying.

Control in China is tenuous on some level - if the CCP fails, it might be total chaos.

Tibet however, doesn't have any power. They are aboriginals crushed under the weight of Han Imperialism. I mean, if China was in economic turmoil for a decade, and Han leadership was weak, or had the self awareness to allow for some autonomy, and there was 'world pressure on them' - possibly Tibet could make a break.

But it's not like Poland under USSR.

Just like every ruler of China in history, whoever gets 'some control' will want 'all of it' and mainland would probably be easy to unite, due to historical facts.

So barring serious collapse and revolution, it looks like HK is just PRC and that's that, and Taiwan will probably remain independent so long as US and EU exist in any material form.

But who can predict the future.