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by alkonaut 2139 days ago
The interesting observation is the relation between the highest death rate (100/day) and current very low death rate of zero to a couple per day 2. This is without significant change in policy, mask use etc.

It’s hard to measure behavior but nothing suggests people have less contact now than in March (more contact is more likely, but on the other hand it’s now more contact outdoors compared to spring).

2 comments

Writing from Sweden: people were scared in March, now they're relaxing. We'll see what happens in autumn when everyone is back to work and spends their time indoor
I think big parts of Sweden might be hitting "herd immunity" relative to the measures that are currently in place.

It doesn't mean that they're hitting herd immunity in an "everything back to normal world". But it's still good news

Have they announced anything about when they're planning to ease restrictions?

Yes looks like it at least.

There isn’t much talk about easing but I suspect the visitor restrictions on elderly homes might be lifted as soon as possibly since 6 months without being able to visit is a long time. Also the 50 person event restriction is being reviewed. It’s a bit inconsistent to allow 100 people in a restaurant or bus but not 51 people in Sweden’s largest football stadium that seats 50k...

Spectators for kids sportS outdoors also becomes allowed I hope. Having parents watch a children’s game outdoors, for example.

General easing of the last restrictions would be e.g allowing full stadiums for sports and concerts but that is not going to happen this year. The authorities recommend working from home for the rest of the year so that gives some indication about other restrictions. Travel recommendations are easing now but obviously change quickly.