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by gnat
2149 days ago
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There's non-trivial community testing that hasn't found people with Covid-19 in NZ. So either (a) every case in NZ is asymptomatic, (b) there are only a few cases that somehow defy the exponential growth we saw at the start of lockdown, or (c) there are no cases in NZ. I find the lowest probability explanation to be that there are no cases in NZ. So what about the three cases of travellers testing positive overseas? The one in South Korea went via Singapore and it's hypothesized that the traveller caught Covid-19 there. There has been testing of the places in NZ where the traveller went before they left (e.g., Queenstown and Milford), so far with no positives found. One tested positive in Australia but was never "in" New Zealand -- her flight was LA-Auckland-Sydney. And in the final case, the woman had been ill in March after returning from overseas and it's thought she hasn't been infectious. They've all been contact-traced and testing came back negative. |
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