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by briHass 2150 days ago
1.6% death rate is not conservative or based in reality. The CDC's best estimate for the IFR, currently, is 0.65% (almost 3x less.) As a population average, even 0.65% doesn't paint an accurate picture. We know deaths are disproportionally in the elderly and those with serious pre-existing conditions.

A better plan would be to do what was possible to protect at-risk populations, but not make the Faustian bargain we did to destroy the economy.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...