[sgt101]

At a very basic level, of stats and epidemiology of course I agree and you are quite correct.

However, that is the stuff of the future and the ivory tower. In the course and flow of this public health crisis it is necessary for reasonable speculation and extrapolation to be used to drive our responses.

There is no evidence that I have heard that the most susceptible have been culled from the population yet, and there is no logical reason to believe that this has happened. In fact the contrary seems to be true when the pattern of the outbreak is observed in the USA. Potentially there remain a huge well of victims left in the population.

To claim that this abet contingent knowledge is illegitimate in the face of the human catastrophe that could result from rejecting it strikes me as an rejection of all of the principles of the enlightenment. Our rationality is our sword and shield for fighting the shadows on the wall of the cave. I for one will not be putting these tools down. It is wrong to cower in the dark when our brains can light a light and let us see a path to safety.