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by maccam94
2155 days ago
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IIRC, when ITER was conceived, it wasn't a waste of money. They just chose a conservative development path that was expensive but very likely achievable. Technology and theories have since advanced that might leapfrog it, but the project has still contributed a great deal to our understanding of fusion and the engineering required to produce it. Relevant talk by one of the MIT professors working with Commonwealth Fusion Systems: Breakthrough in Nuclear Fusion? - Prof. Dennis Whyte (2016) - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KkpqA8yG9T4 Timeline (in case you want to skip over some parts): 00:01:00 - introducing Dennis Whyte, MIT department head for nuclear science
00:04:24 - presentation starts
00:06:00 - identifies breakthrough with REBCO magnets
00:07:25 - explains deuterium-tritium fusion
00:12:30 - basic metrics for reactor performance
00:17:15 - energy output of other previous fusion experiments
00:19:00 - examines ITER and the problems of its approach
00:22:00 - problems solved by high energy magnetic fields
00:28:15 - full scale reactor concept, teardown of REBCO magnets
00:37:00 - design limits and margins
00:39:00 - fixes plasma instabilities found in weaker magnetic chambers
00:40:00 - maintainability, lifespan, component replacement
00:45:00 - solution to neutron damage and energy capture
00:50:30 - cost and profitability
00:54:00 - full graph of field strength vs reactor scale (and thus funding requirements)
01:01:50 - Q&A
01:30:00 - question about the biggest risks
A more recent (2019) talk with more numbers and even more confidence: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY6U4wB-oYM |
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With "might" being the operative word. As long as none of these new approaches has achieved viable fusion (so, more power out than in) I think it's not a bad idea to just continue with the less radical plan that will probably work, even if it is slower.