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by wz1000
2163 days ago
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Two things: 1. It isn't clear that the (real) cost of essentials like food, shelter, clothing, healthcare, education is actually going down significantly. 2. Even if what you say is 100% correct, this "extraction of wealth due to inflation" seems to be a somewhat stable scenario, and certainly hasn't lead to the apocalyptic visions of collapse that inflation hawks perennially create a ruckus about. So even if you think we are living through a hyper-inflationary doomsday scenario, certainly this is a very different doomsday than what one is usually led to imagine (Zimbabwe, Wiemar Republic, Venezuela etc.). Maybe inflationary Armageddon isn't so bad after all! |
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however, we are in a unique situation that has the potential for causing hyper inflation. I say potential because I still think it's not a likely outcome. We are paying people not to work, but eventually someone has to produce something. We ALL can't wfh or be unemployed and collect checks as if we were employed and expect our Amazon deliveries and canned food to arrive; someone has to make and deliver it.
Eventually all the extra money laying around today will chase yesterday's production. I think this is why we often see hyper inflation scenarios stem from low inflation environments. it sounds counter intuitive at first.
This is why we have to be extremely careful when we try to pick and choose what is essential or not. Now we got situations were food is rotting on the vines and milk being dumped down the drain. I dont think we will enter hyper inflation, but we have to be careful about it.