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by darkerside
2167 days ago
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Luck plays into business so much now than people assume. Incomplete information and unpredictable black swan events mean you're not making decisions with certainty. You make the best decision with the information you have, try not to spend more time once you get to diminishing returns, and you hope things work out. Executive talent will not ensure success, but it can raise the odds. But on the other side, a dearth of executive talent can still ensure defeat. |
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To benefit from luck, you have to put yourself in position to get lucky, which does not happen by accident. There is all the difference in the world between good timing and dumb luck. Yes, we can all think of anecdotes where someone did buffoonishly stumble into good fortune, but insisting that this is a fair representative of all cases is the fallacy of composition.