| > Some of the states that had the strictest lockdowns, NY, NJ, also had the worst outcomes. NYC metro ordered lockdowns after it was hard hit, because it was hit early on before there was a real understanding of what was going on. A lot of other places still haven’t peaked, the reopening push in response to overall national case decline was driven entirely by NY being past it's peak while the rest of the country combined was still on the upswing. > Growing cases does not concern me. The growing list of places at or near ICU capacity should, though. > Death rate has blipped up a little but no where near in proportion to the cases. Since the peak death rate was when almost all the cases were in NYC when the NYC health system was overwhelmed, that's unsurprising, we shouldn't see similar death rates in proprtion to cases unless almost all the cases are in similarly overwhelmed locations, which because it hit different places at different times will, even with uncontrolled spread, take a little while. But with enough cases, you can get a pretty apocalyptic total death toll without going back to the peak death:cases ratio. |
Reporting that they are at capacity intimates that they are packed full of Covid patients and overflowing.